Rookie rankings and projections for Fantasy Basketball 2013-2014

Hello all of my fellow NBA fantasy fanatics! Guess who’s back! Yep! It’s J-Fort back to bring you some rookie rankings and projections for this years 2013-2014 fantasy basketball season. I also listed their (ADP) average draft position where I have seen them going as of late, since ESPN and Yahoo are very contradicting. Let ‘s just go by what’s happening in real life fantasy drafts instead of what “ESPN’s Joe Shmo intern” thought back in June! OK? Hope you enjoy!

1. Victor Oladipo – PG, SG – Victor was your second overall draft pick in this years NBA draft and should be your first rookie off the board in most of your fantasy drafts. Orlando plans to play him at both point guard and shooting guard, so he should get plenty of run all year for the the rebuilding Magic. Theres also a good chance Jameer Nelson and Aaron Afflalo get traded during the year so the minutes will be there.
ADP – 75th overall
Projections: 14.5 ppg/5.0 rpg/4.0 apg/.420/.840/ 2.0 spg/60 3s/32 blk/3.0 tov

2. Trey Burke – PG – Burke was slated to get plugged in as the starting point guard for the Utah Jazz immediately until a broken finger derailed that plan. The word out of Jazz camp is that he will be back in about 4-6 weeks which should put him at a return date around the end of November. He’ll have just old man Jamaal Tinsley and John Lucas to compete with when returning, so he shouldn’t have any problem getting his starting gig back.
ADP – 103rd overall
Projections: 12.5 ppg/2.5 rpg/6.0 apg/.460/.795/1.3 spg/90 3s/21 blk/2.8 tov

3. Michael Carter-Williams – PG – MCW is locked into the starting point guard job for the 76ers and should get all the run he can handle. He should be a nice source of assists and steals and will give you decent rebounding numbers for a point guard because of his 6’6” frame. Bad news is, he virtually has no help outside of Evan Turner and Thaddeus Young, so his shooting percentage will be pretty rough looking on most nights. MCW is a very good finisher at the rim, so Im hoping that helps out some. He should be a nice steal late in your drafts.
ADP – 120th overall
Projections: 10 ppg/5.0 rpg/6.5 apg/.390/.650/2.0 spg/70 3s/32 blk/3.0 tov

4. Cody Zeller – PF, C – Zeller may be the safest rookie to draft this year, as he will be the starting power forward next to Al Jefferson for the Bobcats and should get plenty of minutes and plenty of open looks. Josh McRoberts doesn’t scare me at all.
ADP –  125th overall
Projections: 12.0 ppg/8.0 rpg/2.0 apg/.500/.565/.5 spg/0 3s/89 blk/1.5 tov

5. Ben McLemore – SG – McLemore is a nice pick if you’re chasing points and threes late in your draft. He should see starter minutes and should be good for a couple threes a game and given his athleticism, he may give us a steal and block per game. McLemore is a high upside pick and you can get him fairly cheap. Not Thrift shop cheap though!
ADP –  119th overall
Projections: 14.5 ppg/4.0 rpg/1.5 apg/.460/.695/1.0 spg/154 3s/55 blk/2.0 tov

6. Alex Len – C – With recent news of Marcin Gortat being shipped to Washington, Len should automatically move up everyone’s draft board. The 5th overall pick has averaged about 15 minutes per game in the preseason and may not be quite ready to play starters minutes, but still could have huge upside over the course of the season. Miles Plumlee is slated to start at center to start the season, at least until Len is fully healthy (ankles). I’m moving Len up a few rounds in result of the Gortat news.
 ADP –  128th overall
Projections: 9.0 ppg/9.5 rpg/1.0 apg/.445/.500/.5 spg/0 3s/160 blk/2.0 tov

7. Vitor Faverani – C – I almost had Kelly Olynyk listed here, but I just like Faverani’s upside way too much. Celtics coach Brad Stevens called Vitor their “truest center” mainly because he has the size advantage over Kelly Olynyk and Brandon Bass. Faverani also shoots three’s, which is rare for a seven footer and you can still get him in the 140’s and 150’s.
ADP –  145th overall
Projections: 12 ppg/7.0 rpg/2.0 apg/.500/.750/.5 spg/55 3s/88 blk/1.5 tov

8. Kelly Olynyk – C – Olynyk will play both power forward and center this year for the Celtics and should average 30 minutes per game. I like to compare him to Luis Scola who will make a three every once in a while. Not Dirk Nowitzki, come on people. Still a very solid late pick.
ADP –  137th overall
Projections: 13 ppg/5.0 rpg/2.0 apg/.510/.700/1.0 spg/45 3s/38 blk/2.0 tov

9. Anthony Bennett – SF, PF – Bennett is more talented than a few of the guys listed above, but when you’re a rookie, it’s as much about opportunity, as it is talent. Bennett joins a very crowded Cleveland frontcourt including Tristan Thompson, Anderson Varejao, Earl Clark, Alonzo Gee, and Andrew Bynum (pending he ever plays again). I see Bennett getting around 20 minutes per game, unless Cleveland is out of the playoff hunt early and they just let him loose. Since the Cavaliers are supposed to contend for a playoff spot this year, that won’t be likely.
ADP – 128th overall
Projections: 10 ppg/5.0 rpg/1.0 apg/.375/.675/.5 spg/58 3s/37 blk/2.8 tov

10. Steven Adams – C – Adams rounds out the top ten because of his stellar preseason where he has outplayed Kendrick Perkins and Hasheem Thabeet. Adams is clearly faster and more athletic than the other two. He will surely come off the bench behind Perkins but Perkins is a liability on the offensive end and is very prone to foul trouble. I love Adams to emerge as a low end starting center this year.
ADP – 149th+ overall
Projections: 8.0 ppg/8.0 rpg/1.0 apg/.600/.550/1.0 spg/0 3s/124 blk/2.0 tov

There’s your Top 10 rookies that are being drafted regularly in standard leagues. Now, here’s your “best of the rest” who are typically not being drafted outside of deeper leagues………

11. Otto Porter Jr. – SF – High upside rookie, but is currently battling a hip injury and may not see the court until the end of November. (ADP 152)

12. Kentavious Caldwell-Pope – SG – Has a better chance of getting minutes than Peyton Siva with injury prone Chauncey Billups and Rodney Stuckey ahead of him on the depth chart. Either way, he will be very streaky if he does end up with consistent minutes. (ADP 170’s)

13. Peyton Siva – PG – Lightning fast, but I don’t see him getting much run without unforecasted injuries. (ADP 181)

14. Tim Hardaway Jr. – Has played well in the preseason, but still has JR Smith and Iman Shumpert in his way. (ADP 138)

15. CJ McCollum – SG – Out indefinitely with that bad wheel. Not draftable right now, but keep an eye on his status as he may have some value when he returns later in the season.

16. Shabazz Muhammad – SF – Shabazz will likely be in the D-League for a while and has an uphill battle trying to win a starting gig over Corey Brewer and Dante Cunningham.

17. Gorgui Dieng – C – With Nikola Pekovic’s injury history, this might be the guy to own if he were to miss time.

18. Rudy Gobert – C – If Enes Kanters or Derrick Favors miss any time, we will all be chanting Rudy! Rudy! Rudy!!

19. Archie Goodwin – SG – Archie may get some run down the stretch but don’t expect much unless Goran Dragic is traded at some point.

20. Shane Larkin – PG – Stuck behind Jose Calderon and Devin Harris for now. Ignore.

21. Nerlens Noel – C – Noel claimed he would play this year and now the 76ers are saying he may miss all of 2013-2014. I wont bet against the front office though, as they will want to protect their valuable asset.

22. Sergey Karasev – SF – Crowded front court. See Anthony Bennett.

Remember, you can hit me up with questions in the comments below or contact me through Twitter @jfort753. Good Luck everyone. See you next weekend!

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15 Comments

  1. @marc – Yeah, I’m fine with that. Morris will be more useful right away and should get run all year.

    Jfort

  2. which of the following bigs should i drop olynyk for:
    steven adams, faverani, gibson, dalembert, henson, sullinger, kaman? (looking for boards and blocks mainly)
    Will gibson be useful if noah comes back?

    thanks!

  3. @allister – If Faverani is the clear starter at Center, he’s probably the add. Otherwise Taj will be a very nice play for boards and blks til Noah returns. Taj will get a consistent 25-30 minutes all year regardless. Bulls will blow out alot of teams so he’ll get plenty of run.

  4. @allister – If Len is the Starter or is getting 30 minutes when he’s ready/healthy, he will be owned everywhere. Just depends on his health and if he takes the job from Plumlee. I think he will eventually. Stay tuned.

  5. I need your thoughts on this team I drafted yesterday (H2H 10-team 9 cat).
    Holiday, Jennings, Knight, MCW
    George, Mayo, Beal
    Iguodala, G. Hayward
    Love, Tristan Thompson
    Vucevic, Pekovic
    So everything was going fine with Love, George, then…I’m not sure. I wasn’t really looking to fill needs or anything, just tried to get the best value but instead ended up with all these PGs and SGs. I see this team having horrible FG%, a lot of turnovers, and no blocks. How can I improve this team? Would you drop anyone to pick up Len, Marion, Faverani, or Taj?
    thanks guys, i have another draft in a few hours so I had to cut the small talk but it’s great to have everyone from hecmanhoops back for what should be another exciting season.

  6. @allballs – You’re team looks solid. You should get extra blks from George, Hayward, and Iggy. You should be fine. There will be blocks to add.

    @Karl – All I have is what we have posted on the site for now. I believe we’ll have more posts up soon. I’m available on Twitter for any immediate questions also. @jfort753

  7. Did my best, here is my result:
    12man 9 starters, 5 bench, 2 IR, 9 cat H2H

    PG: Conley, Teague, Felton
    SG: Kobe, Hayward, Korver
    SF: George, Brewer
    PF: Milsap, A. Johnson, Frye, J. Thompson
    C: M. Gasol, Pekovic

    Biggest ? marks: Since I was flying fairly blind on Centers I gambled my 2nd rounder on Gasol and my 7th on Pekovic.. I don’t think those are bad for either. Also spent the 40th overall pick on Kobe.. passing up on Monta Ellis… Monta’s FG% always makes me a big gunshy and we have a IR slot.

    Things I’m happiest with: I got Teague in the 5th and was able to snag Milsap in the 6th, and Hayward in the 8th…

  8. @Karl – I think you did well. I love where you got Gasol actually. He went 9th overall in my last draft. I really like Amir Johnson too. Now you can put Kobe on the IR and add a hot FA.

  9. This is the first year I’m doing fantasy basketball. Any suggestions on my line up. Moving Players around, where I might be weak stat/position wise
    PG: Chris Paul
    SG: Klay Thompson
    SF: Kawhi Leonard
    PF: LaMarcus Aldridge
    C: Al Horford
    G: Bradley Beal
    F: Nikolar Vucevic
    Utility: Greivis Vasquez, Joe Johnson, Gerald Wallace
    Bench: Marcin Gortat, Jarret Jack, Amir Johnson

  10. @jeff – Looks pretty solid. I don’t see any immediate guys to move right away but Wallace will probably be the guy when the time comes.

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