Look who’s baking hot … Fournier!

Ok, this one is going to need some explaining. So I googled (now a verb!) the word fournier and discovered it means baker in French. The name Fournier is also commonly converted to Fuller in the United States. Useless information! Let’s get to some useful information! This is what I told you way back on my November 1 Add/Drop post: Evan Fournier – 6% – 6%??! That’s shameful. Go! A week later, Evan’s Yahoo! ownership was at 14% and here’s what I told you last SaturdayEvan Fournier – 14% – Still too low while Victor Oladipo is out. Just saying! Go, man. Today, as I wrote this post, Evan is now at 42% owned. From 6% to 14% to 42%. Where to next? Well, we know Victor Oladipo is back. We also know that Elfrid Payton doesn’t look anywhere near ready to run an NBA team. We also know that, to date, Evan has averaged 34 mpg/17.9 ppg/2.1 apg/2.7 rpg/2.2 3PM/.8 spg/.500 FG/.702 FT. Those are some helpful stats! Will he regress with Oladipo now back? Of course, son! But I don’t see how he doesn’t continue to get some significant burn. Last night, with Victor back, Evan played 35 minutes, launched 13 shots, scored 15 points and hit 3 more moon balls. Meanwhile, back at the ranch, Eldrid played just 22 minutes while vomiting a 2/4/3 line on 1-5 FG. Payton’s FG% now stands at an ugly .329 on the season. Finally someone Ricky Rubio isn’t jealous of! The moral of the story, boys and girls, is maybe Evan won’t lose much value after all. Go ahead and add him to see if he can keep up the big minutes. As they said in the Bad News Bears, “Let him play!”. He better play! Hey, it’s Add/Drop Saturday here at hecmanhoops! Here are your top adds for players under 50% owned in fantasy basketball leagues. All ownership percentages are from Yahoo!

Add:

Chris Copeland – 49% – His percents are completely in the shitter. He’s more ideal for a points league but still helping with the counting stats elsewhere.

Donald Sloan – 46% – Think of him as a girl you’re going to date for like a week or two then dump after she goes pyscho on you. Girls, think of him as a guy you’re going to date for a like a week or two then dump after he goes pyscho on you. Equal opportunity!

Miles Plumlee – 37% – Getting north of 30 mpg over the last week so worth adding if you need some boards and blocks. Alex Len is :(.

Anthony Morrow – 36% – Threees. I’m not a big fan though. I’d rather own Jeremy Lamb.

Nick Young – 36% – Targeting Tuesday. Pre-strike pick up alert! Should do some damage with the second unit. Yes, that’s what fantasy owners want to hear, pick up a guy, he’s on the second unit!

Solomon Hill – 25% – Continuing to get large minutes. Why not sell high? I would!

Jeremy Lamb – 23% – Averaging over 30 mpg this past week while, um, slaughtering your FG%. Bad joke alert!!

Marcus Morris – 19% – Still managing to do some damage even with P.J. Tucker back.

Steve Adams – 18% – Has 7 blocks over his last 3 games. Ok, fine, 5 came in one game but still!

Chris Kaman – 17% – Could see some extra burn with LaMarcus Aldridge banged up. He’s been doing his thang even with LA playing!

Zack LaVine – 14% – Last week I told you to grab Mo Williams and monitor Zack. Belch.

Mo Williams – 14% – I’m still wondering since when did Mo Williams become 57 years old.

Gary Neal – 13% – Last week I told you to lose Gerald Henderson if you owned him and to grab Neal. Well?

Bojan Bogdanovic – 7% – Over the last 7 days he’s averaging over 34 mpg. Really, 7% is far too low but keep owning, say, oh, I don’t know, Spencer Hawes or JaVale McGee. 4 capital letters in a name alert! Don’t pick up the wrong Bogdanovic!

Isaiah Canaan – 4% – Too bad Patrick Beverley is due back soon so … Thee Patrick Beverley! (ho hum)

Thabo Sefolosha – 2% – Streamer while DeMarre Carroll remains sidelined.

Donatas Montiejunas – 1%- Go ahead and take a streamer whirl while Terrence Jones remains out.

Drop:

The other day I gave you my H2H Strategy to win your Fantasy Basketball league. One of my strategies was to stream players to gain games over your opponent using your worst roster spot. Depending on the size of your league and the depth of your waiver wire, here are some guys I’d consider losing to stream. Pretty much most guys owned under 30% should be considered to pick up someone else, um, owned under 30%. Your call though. Your team!

Elfrid Payton – 55%

O.J. Mayo – 53%

Timofey Mozgov – 53%

Spencer Hawes – 32%

Ben McLemore – 27%

Kentavious Caldwell-Pope – 21%

K.J. McDaniels – 22%

Devin Harris – 24%

P.J. Tucker – 26%

John Henson – 23%

Norris Cole – 10%

D.J. Augustin – 15%

Evan Turner – 24%

JaVale McGee – 27%

Dion Waiters – 36%

Doug McDermott – 12%

Tony Allen – 16%

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H2H Fantasy basketball strategy to win your league. Um, Yahoo!

When I was just a young lad playing fantasy basketball many years ago (No, I’m not Irish, but I like Guiness!), there was only one way to play fantasy basketball: Roto style! Personally, I’m still partial to a roto league over H2H leagues but H2H is so popular now that I will start this little series of strategy posts for H2H leagues. After this, I’ll get around to giving you a strategy post for ESPN style roto leagues with a games cap. That’ll be fun! Then maybe I’ll throw strategy at you for points leagues and, of course, I’ll give you an encore and retool of my annual How to Make a Fantasy Basketball Trade post. Before I get to today’s winning strategies, here’s a quick funny and embarrassing story for you about how NOT to draft a fantasy basketball team: Amongst a bunch of leagues I do, there is this one standard style 9 cat H2H Yahoo! league I’ve been in for the past couple of years. Apparently, at some point over this past summer the league decided to change to a points style scoring system. Emails were sent (and never checked) informing the league of the change. The draft was the night before the season started. Anyway, not needing any real prep seeing as I wrote a whole Draft Guide and all, I jump into the draft room a minute before the draft started and see I got the number 1 pick. Bingo! Jackpot! Lebron James baby, yeah. Um, no. I take Lebron, Anthony Davis goes next, of course. Still oblivious to this being a points league, I take Kawhi Leonard and Marc Gasol with picks 24 and 25. Now it’s the 4th round and, in between playing with my little kids and talking to my patient wife who has to deal with me doing draft after draft, I figure I better start looking closer to see who is still available. Then I notice the categories don’t have percents. Wait, oh, shit! Light bulb! So I type to the rest of the league, “Is this a points league now?” Sigh. Moral of the story and the most basic strategy for you: Know what type of league your in and do as I say, don’t do as I do! How embarrassing. Ok, off we go. Here are 6 basic fantasy basketball strategies to win your H2H league. Wheeeeeee!

1. Focus on winning 5 categories. You don’t need to win 8-1! Inevitably, you’re going to weaken all of your categories if you spread yourself too thin trying to win everything. It’s not necessary! I prefer to focus on winning the counting stat categories: Points, assists, steals, threes, rebounds and blocks. My goal is to win 5 of these 6 categories. If you happen to also win FG or FT, then you’ve got a great chance of even winning with a cushion each week 6-3 or better. For my taste, the percentages are a crap shoot and, generally, I prefer not to focus on trying to win them. I’m not totally ignoring them but they are secondary. If I’m going to focus on one of the percentage categories, then I prefer to focus on FT. I usually do that by taking both FG and FT into consideration at the draft and auction with an extra emphasis on trying to add at least players with decent FT. That way I’m starting out with at least a strong FT base which gives me a chance to win that category on any given week.

2. Maximize your games played. How do you win the counting stats? Volume! The only way to win the counting stats categories is to play as many games each week as possible. That means not carrying too many injured players and streaming players to gain more games played than your opponent each week. You’d be surprised how many times this sinks fantasy teams. See numbers 4 and 5 below for more on these issues! Randomly numbered !

3. Ignore turnovers. Considering my objective is to maximize my games played each week in order to win the counting stats, it would be counter intuitive to also concentrate on winning turnovers. You can’t have it both ways, son! Simple math says focus on the 6 counting stat categories instead of FG, FT and TOV. I don’t even need a calculator to figure that one out! The beauty of this strategy is that you can still win FG and/or FT on any given week. However, one exception to the ignore FG/FT/TOV rule does exist: I only start to look at these three categories on Saturday and Sunday. By then you’ll have a strong idea of where you stand in the counting stat categories and you’ll also have an almost definite idea of how many players you and your opponent have left. This is where H2H Sunday strategy comes into play. To sit or start players, especially on Sunday. That’s a decision you’ll have to make. Or feel free to ask me on Sunday morning and I’ll be happy to give you my opinion. That’s how much I care! Sniff.

4. Do not carry too many injured guys. Let me be clear. If you are carrying too many injured guys from week to week, you will lose! If you’re consistently losing each week then, most likely, your carrying too many injured guys on your team. If your league doesn’t have an IR, then it becomes very difficult to win counting stat categories with a short bench. This is especially true if your league allows daily transactions. Think about this: If your roster is short two guys due to injury, that’s as many as 6-8 games lost per week! Toss in if your opponent is reading this strategy post and decides to get clever by streaming one bench spot, you can be down as many as 10 or more games. That’s a shit load of points, boards, dimes, etc. lost. You never had a chance. I realize injuries come into play but if your goal is to make the playoffs and you need to win now to make it there then you’ll ultimately have to make some tough decisions on dropping players. First thing I’d look to do is trade a solid injured player if you’re considering dropping him. You can always check out my trade strategy post from last year for ideas. If you’d like!

5. Use one roster spot to stream players: Let’s face it, we can’t all have a team of super stars from player 1 to the end of your bench. If the end of my end bench is a player getting say 20ish minutes per game, why should I be married to him? If you’re not married then take the advice of a married guy: Don’t get married! But seriously folks, I’ll use as an example a guy like DJ Augustin, a back up point guard who is erratic at best. That’s a weakness if you’re carrying him week in and week out hoping for a good game out of him here and there. I prefer to take that spot and stream it for a hot free agent. Use those 4 weekly moves! Or however many you get. Those weekly moves are games in hand for you and a precious resource to victory. At least 2 extra games, sometimes 4 or more if you can stream a guy playing back to back nights. Think that’s not powerful? Or would you prefer to have DJ Augustin for his 3 games? Rhetorical! Turn that weak roster spot into a strength.

6. Pay attention to your weekly opponent’s strengths and weaknesses. Every week I like to look at the record of how my opponent has been doing in each category. It’s easy to do, in Yahoo! leagues. Under the “League” tab up top, you click “Team Stats”. There you’ll see two important sub-categories: “Win-Loss” and “Totals”. I like to look at both of these sub-categories to see which categories my opponent is strongest and weakest in. Is he 1-5 in blocks? If so, then I know I don’t necessarily have to really focus on blocks that week. I can stream players proficient in other categories. Is he 7-1 in points? If so and if I want to win points then I know I’m in a dog fight and I’ll look for help by streaming a guy who can get me possibly double digit points on any given night. Know your opponents strengths and weaknesses and you’ll be ahead of the game.

Feel free to share any other strategies you have in the comments. Good luck, peoples.  !

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Ricky Rubio’s owners are singing the Mo (Williams) better blues!

I’ve never had a high ankle sprain. Hell I don’t even really know what a high ankle sprain is! All I know is that a high ankle sprain is not a regular ankle sprain. If it was, it’d be called an ankle sprain! Unfortunately, last night, Ricky Rubio suffered an ankle sprain of the, um, highest order. A high ankle sprain! Right now there is no time table on how long Ricky will be out but it could be weeks. It could be days (which doesn’t look likely at the moment). It could be years! Dramatic! In the meantime, Mo Williams (18% owned in Yahoo! leagues) is your Huckleberry. Last night Mo dropped 4/2/7 with 3 blocks in 31 minutes. While he’s starting would 12ish points, 5ish dimes and close to a three and steal per surprise me? Nope! Something around there is my best guestimate. If that floats your boat, which it probably does, then go ahead and make the grab. Quick, quick. For you deep league fanatics, go ahead and consider spec grabbing Zach LaVine (3% owned in Yahoo! leagues). Monitor elsewhere. As if you didn’t know! Hey, it’s Add/Drop Saturday! Here are the top guys to consider picking up for fantasy basketball who are owned in under 50% of Yahoo! leagues.

Chris Copeland – 49% – I’ve been telling you to grab him since he was like 1% owned. Loved him as one of my favorite sleepers this year. Now everyone loves him. Thanks, um, experts!

Josh McRoberts – 47% – Hey, haven’t you heard. He’s not very good at basketball right now.

Perry Jones – 44% – If he was dropped then go ahead and scoop and stash.

Courtney Lee – 42% – Last week when he was just 11% owned, here’s what I told you: He’s day to day after being concussed last night. Or slightly concussed. Whatever that means. You’re either concussed or you’re not! He’s getting minutes so go ahead. Now he’s 40%. Hope you grabbed him before all the Monday morning quarterbacks told you how good he was. You know, like your grandmother.

Garrett Temple – 30% – Goose egged from the field last night while puking a 3/2/3 line but I wouldn’t let that deter me. Bradley Beal is hurt. As if!

Matt Barnes – 32% – His ownership actually dropped from 36% this week. More of a monitor recommendation because he’s still starting. He’ll sink your boat right now!

Iman Shumpert – 29% – Until at least Jose Calderon comes back I’d be happy to own Shump. I think you’d be too! When Jose comes back, then you’ll probably be sad.

Evan Turner – 26% – With Marcus Smart hurt, he could see some extra backcourt burn. I’ve never turned on a player as much as I have on ET. Last year, I loved him on the Sixers, this year, I want to punch him in the head.

Brandon Wright – 24% – He’s still averaging only around 19 mpg which doesn’t thrill me but he be doing what he do. Mostly blocking the basketball and rebounding the basketball (a little bit).

Norris Cole – 33% – Here’s what I told you in last week’s Add/Drop post: I’m surprised the Heat have fallen in love with him suddenly and I do think his explosion on Wednesday was more of an anomaly but add him to see if he can keep it up. Quick, quick! After this past week, now you know why was I was surprised! My Magic 8 Ball knows!

Michael Kidd-Gilchrist – 37% – Returned last night and hopefully will continue to be doing what he do.

Ed Davis – 29% – Even with Julius Randle out for the year, Ed has only averaged 19 mpg over his last 3. Meh. Monitor if you feel like it.

Steve Adams – 23% – I’m liking those minutes, baby! Perry Jones will probably cut into them a bit though. If he ever comes back! He better! In Perry we trust. Sort of.

P.J. Tucker – 23% – Could be good for chipping in close to a three and steal per along with some boards and a smattering of points! You know, useful!

K.J. McDaniels – 20% – He’s looking good but temper expectations since Michael Carter-Williams is due back late next week. Stream for now if you feel like it. You’ll feel like a salmon! Or something like that.

Jarrett Jack – 14% –  Dropped from 20% last week. Can’t really blame anyone. He had a shitty week! Monitor.

DJ Augustin – 22% – Brandon Jennings showed signs of life last night so I’m not going out of my way for him.

Otto Porter, Jr. – 14% – Hit or miss. Mostly miss. Garrett Temple boned him! Nobody likes to get boned. Wait. Let me think about that last part.

Kentavious Caldwell-Pope – 23% – Worth adding while Jody Meeks is on the shelf. It’s a pretty long shelf!

Solomon Hill – 15% – He’s getting rather large minutes right now. Jump on! If you’d like. C.J. Miles (12%) looms. CJ has a headache. He can’t play, his head hurts! Hey, CJ, smoke some pot!, said Levon Bell.

Tim Hardaway Jr. – 14% – Look up a little bit and re-read the Iman Shumpert blurb. That!

Kirk Hinrich – 14% – Streameeeeeer! Or don’t. Your call. Your team!

Marvin Williams – 11% – You see the Bobcats front court lately!? Not Rhetorical! If you haven’t then go take a look. Grab Marvin first though. In deep leagues anyway.

Gary Neal – 10% – If you own Gerald Henderson and not Gary Neal, then do the needful! No, I’m not Indian.

Evan Fournier – 14% – Still too low while Victor Oladipo is out. Just saying! Go, man.

Brandon Davies – 8% – Sixer alert! Hit or miss though. Do you feel lucky? Punk!

Andrea Bargnani – 3% – From last week: If you have an IR spot then go ahead and throw Andrea on there. Talk about no love for a guy who averaged 13/5 with over a block per and close to a three per last season. Just saying. I’m also saying he’s a pussy. He’s still a pussy and I still think you should throw him on your IR, if you have one!

Marcus Thornton – 2% – See the Evan Turner blurb above minus the love part and minus the wanting to punch him in the head part.

Isaiah Canaan – 1% – Go ahead and stream whenever Patrick Beverley misses time. No point guard gets many dimes on that team anyway. They have Jimmy Beard! My own nickname for him. Not sure why it’s never caught on like wild fire. It should!

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How Harden is it to make a damn free throw!

Hey, everyone, I’m Keith and I’m guest blogging today for hecman. I run my own fantasy sports blog over at www.wetalkfantasysports.com. We, um, talk fantasy sports! Feel free to check it out. There were 8 games in the NBA last night with lots of fantasy implications. The Houston Rockets moved to 5-0, defeating the Heat in the Miami and for the 4th time this season, James Harden made at least 10 free throws. 61 of Harden’s 136 points scored (44.8%) have come from the free throw line. He has yet to finish a game shooting 50% from the field, knocking down just 38.8% of his shot attempts. The Rockets could care less how he scores points, as long as they keep winning, and you shouldn’t either if you own him in your fantasy league! He is averaging 27.2 points, 7.4 assists and 6.8 rebounds per game! Wheeeeee. Here’s what else I saw in fantasy basketball last night:

Dwight Howard 26/10 – Made 6 of his 11 free throw attempts, raising his FT% to 45.5%.

Trevor Ariza 19/5/5 – 35 of his 50 shot attempts have come from beyond the arc, he has made 21 of them!

Kostas Papanikolaou 8/7/5 – 23 of his 31 shot attempts have come from beyond the arc, he has made 8 of them.

Justin Hamilton 9/7 – 7′ tall Center, knocked down three 3s and grabbed 7 rebounds in 31 minutes. The Heat have no center and start Shawne Williams. I wouldn’t get used to nights like this though.

Garrett Temple 17/5 – Take advantage of him while Bradley Beal is out

Iman Shumpert 19/4 – Led the Knicks in scoring on an off-night from Carmelo Anthony. Shump is averaging 15 points per game over the Knicks last 3 contests, and knocked down 6 of his last 7 threes!

O.J. Mayo 9/5/3 – Mayo has returned to the player we all love to hate. After scoring 21 points per game over the Bucks first 2, Mayo has scored 12 points in his last 41 minutes.

Larry Sanders 0/10 – You and I scored as many points as Sanders last night, but he grabbed 10 rebounds and added 3 blocks. All we did was change the channel!

Roy Hibbert 16/7/5 – Hibbert still doesn’t rebound all that well (for a 7’2 guy), just 8.8 per game but he is averaging a career high 15 points per game, shooting 60% and adding 4 blocks!

Chris Copeland 19/5 – I never understood why Copeland had so much trouble finding playing time on a Pacers team that was desperate for scoring. He is scoring 16.8 points per game, and knocking down 3.5 threes and grabbing 4.8 rebounds.

Reggie Jackson 13/14/4 – Jackson has played 84 minutes in the last two days, scored 36 points and handed out 19 assists while grabbing 9 rebounds. Sounds great but his 35% from the floor and 14% from beyond the arc and 76% from the charity stripe are ugly. Still, the minutes will be there and he will find ways to fill the stat sheet.

Perry Jones 4/1 – Jones left this game after just 18 minutes with a knee injury. He walked out of the arena under his own power though which is a good sign. The Thunder could ill afford another injury.

Sebastian Telfair 11/4/3/2 – Hold onto Telfair, Jackson is playing injured still and the amount of minutes Scott Brooks is playing him, Jackson could require some days off in the near future.

Lance Stephenson 2/7/4 – Stephenson is pouring in 6 points per game for the Hornets, shooting an incredible 27% and has made 0 three point shots this season. He is grabbing 9 rebounds per game and handing out 6 assists.

Nikola Vucevic 19/13 – Quickly becoming one of the most consistent players in the NBA, 4 straight double doubles.

Taj Gibson 16/4 – Returned to the Bulls lineup and started for the sick Joakim Noah, Gibson should get another start tonight against the Bucks.

Damian Lillard 27/7/6 – Stat sheet stuffer, matched Harden’s 10 free throws made and added 5 threes.

Kevin Love 22/10 – If you were afraid Love would suffer from Chris Bosh syndrome, have no fear. LeBron James brought that back with him from South Beach. Love has 3 straight double doubles and is putting up 19/13 per game.

Markieff Morris and Marcus Morris 35/16/9 – Can’t tell them apart! You should though, ‘Kieff!

Eric Bledsoe 6/1 – Played just 21 minutes, making way for Isaiah Thomas. He is off to a rough start shooting 35%.

Isaiah Thomas 22/9/3 – Could see a changing of the guard soon in Phoenix. Thomas is shooting 54.5% dropping 19.5 points per game.

Kobe Bryant 39/9 – Kobe is making up for all those shots he missed last season. 36 years old, 37 shot attempts, 44 minutes.

Follow me on twitter @WeTlkFntsySprts
Check out the blog We Talk Fantasy Sports

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I elect Isaiah Canaan but I’m in the minority!

Last night Isaiah Canaan started for the Houston Rockets and dropped 13/2/6 with 2 steals and 3 threes in 30 minutes. He was filling in for that fantasy stud Patrick Beverley. You know, the Patrick Beverley who is averaging 31 minutes, 8 points, 3.5 boards, 3.5 dimes on .41 FG and .50 FT through two games. I’d love to see Isaiah get a real shot at the job but rumor has it that defense is part of playing basketball and Patrick is a little better. Doesn’t the coach know we don’t care if his team wins games! Go ahead and stream Isaiah for as long as Beverley is out but he should be back in 3, 2 … Here’s what else I saw on a relatively slow night in fantasy basketball.

Terrence Jones –  6/4/2 with two steals and a block in 30 minutes. As long as he’s the starting power forward and getting burn, he’s ok in my book! In fact, go by the book! Maybe it’ll be a little cheap.

Dante Exum – 7/1/2 with a block in 17 minutes. Uh oh, Trey Burke owner panic alert! I’m not panicking.

Trevor Ariza – 24/6/7 with 2 steals and 6 threes. I’m starting to become a believer. I know, I know I’m a little late to the party but he keeps defying his career percentages! I can’t get over the career percents, man. If I could I’d try selling him for any rock solid player who was taken in the top 3 rounds. But I don’t own him anywhere! He was a little too rich for my blood at drafts and auctions. I’m cheap!

K.J. McDaniels – 14/3/1 with a block and 3 threes in 27 minutes. That’s better. Told you last week he’s gonna take some time. Hopefully he’s speeding it up!

Luc Richard Mbah a Moute – Started and dropped 10/4/1 with 2 threes in 25 minutes. I wish he was good enough to make his name worth typing at least! There is a rather large vacuum in Philly right now and we really have no idea which terrible player is going to fill it. Even my Magic 8 Ball is confused! That’s hard to do.

Brandon Davies – Started and dropped 13/4/3 with a block and a three in 24 minutes. See Luc what’s his face 1/4 inch above. Depending on the size of your screen!

Sebastian Telfair – 16/5/6 with 3 threes in 35 minutes. I told you to stream him yesterday. Well, did you? Keep streaming until further notice. But by now you already knew that. You’re so clever.

Jarrett Jack – 4/2/1 with 4 steals in 28 minutes. He’s getting decent burn but I actually benched him in a relatively deep 14 team rotiss league with a position cap until I see something out of him. That reminds me, I should probably do a strategy post soon. Gots to set you up!

Brook Lopez – 18/6/0 with a steal and 2 blocks in 24 minutes. Nice return now let him string together a few good games and then move his ass for nice value. Unless you like praying every night to the fantasy gods he doesn’t reinjure his foot every time he, um, moves. I don’t!

Eric Gordon – 11/8/0 with 2 steals on 4-14 FG in 37 minutes. He dropped a goose egg the other day and suddenly I’m getting questions about dropping him. Chillax peoples!

Marcus Thornton – 1/2/0 with a block and a steal in 12 lonesome minutes. I actually thought he might get 22-24 minutes of burn per but he’s just not getting any love in Boston. Let him go silently into the night if you drafted him as a late spec pick. He blows!

Brandon Wright – 6/6/0 with a steal and 2 blocks in 18 minutes. I noticed Brandon has been picked up a bit lately so, ok, let me blurb my 2 cents about him. He’s averaging 2 blocks per through three games but just 18 mpg. He’s a specialist, said Greg Stiemsma! Really nothing more outside of a few boards which he’ll get by default. He’s 6’10!

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